From HSToday:
As terrorist attacks continue to surge around the globe, from attacks by the Islamic State on multiple continents to the kidnapping of hundreds of innocent school girls by Boko Haram in Africa, intelligence and counterterrorism officials charged with preventing attacks by these malicious actors are left to wonder, “What are they thinking?” and “Where will they strike next?” A new study, In the Opponent’s Shoes: Increasing the Behavioral Validity of Attackers’ Judgments in Counter-Terrorism Models, by Sumitra Sri Bhashyam and Gilberto Montibeller, challenges the current assumptions employed by counterterrorism analysts in the models they use to gain insight into terrorists’ judgments, and suggest ways to achieve more accurate assessments.
